Todos los mercados
16,932 mercados abiertos
5kt meteor strike in 2026?21%probabilidad
Sí21¢No79¢
Tecnología1 mar.
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?8%probabilidad
Sí8¢No92¢
Tecnología1 mar.
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?- December 31, 202767%Sí
- September 30, 202742%Sí
- June 30, 202728%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?17%probabilidad
Sí17¢No83¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?14%probabilidad
Sí14¢No86¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?- June 30, 2027?83%Sí
- March 31, 202766%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?6%probabilidad
Sí6¢No94¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?1%probabilidad
Sí1¢No99¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?- December 31, 202714%Sí
- December 31, 20262%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?83%probabilidad
Sí83¢No17¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026- Erling Braut Haaland86%Sí
- Alysa Liu52%Sí
- Lionel Messi34%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?10%probabilidad
Sí10¢No90¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?- December 31, 202831%Sí
- December 31, 202713%Sí
- December 31, 20265%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?- December 31, 202616%Sí
- October 31, 20269%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Elon Bull Run Combo6%probabilidad
Sí6¢No94¢
Tecnología2 ene.
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?9%probabilidad
Sí9¢No91¢
Tecnología1 ene.
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?- June 30, 202785%Sí
- December 31, 202625%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
100kt meteor strike in 2026?4%probabilidad
Sí4¢No96¢
Tecnología1 mar.
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?- December 3115%Sí
- October 3110%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?- Meta14%Sí
- Meituan14%Sí
- Amazon14%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google 2026- Dolly Parton96%Sí
- Oliver Tree74%Sí
- Chuck Norris62%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?7%probabilidad
Sí7¢No93¢
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?78%probabilidad
OpenAI78¢Anthropic22¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?54%probabilidad
Sí54¢No46¢
Tecnología1 ene.